Global Supply Of Wheat Is Only 10 WEEKS Expert Tells UN Security Council — ‘This Is Seismic’

Written by K. Walker on May 24, 2022

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If you thought things were bad now, just wait. They can get worse.

On Saturday, Sara Menker, CEO of Gro Intelligence and an expert in predicting food supply trends, warned the United Nations Security Council that there is only a 10-week global supply of wheat.

Menker has been sounding the alarm on a global food crisis for years, including in a 2017 TEDTalk.

She said that the global food insecurity hasn’t been this bad since the financial crisis of 2008 and that without “aggressive global actions” she warned that “we stand the risk of an extraordinary amount of human suffering and economic damage.”

She cited several reasons for the crisis situation including the ongoing conflict in Ukraine that has affected global exports of both wheat and fertilizer. However, she said that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine wasn’t the catalyst — it simply made a bad situation worse.

“This isn’t cyclical. This is seismic,” said Menker during a special meeting of the UN Security Council. “Even if the war were to end tomorrow, our food security problem isn’t going away anytime soon without concerted action.”

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine “did not start a food security crisis,” but it did add “fuel to a fire that was long burning,” said Sara Menker, CEO of Gro Intelligence, a global company that uses artificial intelligence and public and private data to predict food supply trends…

…Before the Russia-Ukraine conflict began, the two countries supplied a combined one third of the world’s wheat exports and were in the top five exporters of corn. Coupled with widespread fertilizer shortages, supply chain issues and record droughts, the world has about 10 weeks worth of wheat on hand, Menker said.

Source: Fox 13

Fox 13 Seattle lists the 5 factors that Mekner identified that are affecting global food supplies:

  • Lack of fertilizer: Fertilizer prices have nearly tripled over the past year — and quadrupled over the past two years — Menker said, thanks to supply chain issues, restrictions on natural gas and export restrictions amid the Russia-Ukraine war. The fertilizer shortage could significantly reduce crop yields for big suppliers like the United States, Brazil and western Europe later this year and into next year, “severely impacting global food security and inflation for three-to-five years at a minimum,” Menker said
  • Climate change: Global drought conditions for wheat are the worst they’ve been in 20 years around the world, Menker said. “Major breadbaskets” like the U.S. and Brazil, the world’s two largest exporters of agricultural product, are also experiencing extreme droughts.
  • Cooking oil shortage: The price of palm oil has nearly tripled in the last two years, Menker said, and the world has lost 75% of sunflower oil exports to the war in Ukraine. China has also notably increased the amount of cooking oil it imports.
  • Grain shortage: Russia and Ukraine accounted for a third of the world’s wheat exports before the conflict began. Now, the world is seeing record low grain levels on top of fertilizer shortages, supply chain issues and droughts.
  • Supply chain/logistical bottlenecks: Supply chain issues created by the pandemic have been exacerbated by the Russia-Ukraine war. “All Ukrainian ports remain closed, making it impossible to move any of Ukraine’s harvested grain across its borders,” Menker said. “Shifting to rail will move less than 10% of pre-war flow. It’s not enough.”

We already saw that famine was on the horizon in early 2020 because of lockdowns:

Recall that the World Health Organization was opposed to lockdowns because they affect the supply chain and would push the most vulnerable into poverty and famine.

This piece, in particular, looks practically prophetic:

According to Farming Life, Ukraine supplies one-quarter of the world’s supply of wheat and half of the world’s supply of sunflower products.

In February, Russia, the world’s largest supplier of fertilizer, placed a ban on exports of ammonium nitrate causing a crisis in available fertilizer just before the spring planting in North America and directly affecting South America at a critical point in their growing season.

The ongoing war is accelerating a crisis that was already brewing.

U.N. food chief David Beasley warned the Security Council that the war in Ukraine has created “an unprecedented crisis” of escalating food prices that are already sparking protests and riots and growing hunger. The crisis could add at least 47 million people to the 276 million “marching to starvation” before Russia’s invasion of its smaller neighbor.

The executive director of the World Food Program said 49 million people in 43 countries are already “knocking on famine’s door.”

Beasley recalled that when food prices got out of control in 2007 and 2008 over 40 countries faced political unrest, riots and protests.

“We are already seeing riots and protesting taking place as we speak — Sri Lanka, Indonesia, Pakistan, Peru,” he said. “We’ve seen destabilizing dynamics already in the Sahel from Burkina Faso, Mali, Chad. These are only signs of things to come.”

Source: Fox 13

Biden seems to be committed to having the government’s hands in everything. There’s just one problem with Venezuela-ing the U.S. of A. — it doesn’t work and always leads to disaster.

The free market has a much better record than the command economy.

The government isn’t the most efficient at handling things — especially when they have a vision to fundamentally transform things or, as Biden calls it, “Build Back Better.”

It didn’t work so well when Sri Lanka decided to switch to 100% organic farming overnight in 2019 after the election of President Gotabaya Rajapaksa.

Rajapaksa’s commitment to producing 100 per cent of Sri Lanka’s food organically within a decade was accompanied by a ban on the use of all chemical fertilisers, pesticides and herbicides.

The consequences have been nothing short of catastrophic. Going organic — the bold, modern vision of the UK’s green lobby — has triggered the devastation of Sri Lanka’s economy, plunging much of its 22 million-strong population into desperate straits.

The chaos that has engulfed the country — including growing poverty, long queues for essentials, lethal street battles and attacks on the homes of government leaders — is a direct result of this one decision.
Source: Daily Mail

The move caused a significant drop in crop yields of essential exports like rice and tea — 35% and 50% respectively.

This single decision caused massive poverty and shortages and was then followed by the results of lockdowns from COVID that caused supply chain issues and is exacerbating an already awful situation.

Here’s what is happening in Sri Lanka right now:

What a crapshow.

But a couple of things that were not mentioned by Menker is that the climate zealots are insisting that we grow corn for biofuel instead of food and use existing farmland for wind farms and solar panels.

So, we’re shunning fossil fuels and using our farmland for fuel and not for food and we’re wondering why there’s a food shortage?

The Malthusian elite environmentalists that want the population decreased to protect Gaia are getting exactly what they wanted. It just means horrific levels of starvation and death. But I guess you can’t make an omelet if you don’t break a few eggs, right?

Joseph Stalin is reported to have said, “A single death is a tragedy; a million deaths is a statistic.” It’s unclear if he really said that, but it does seem to be the Left’s view of things.

ClashDaily's Associate Editor since August 2016. Self-described political junkie, anti-Third Wave Feminist, and a nightmare to the 'intersectional' crowd. Mrs. Walker has taken a stand against 'white privilege' education in public schools. She's also an amateur Playwright, former Drama teacher, and staunch defender of the Oxford comma. Follow her humble musings on Twitter: @TheMrsKnowItAll and on Gettr @KarenWalker