Mathematics and taxes produce mostly boring expressions in school rooms across America. That boredom usually continues into the adult years. Last week, I wrote about Expecting the Unexpected in a world plunging to disorder. This week, I want to work analysis of a subset of the unexpected, the math of unintended consequences.
June will see the announcement of the Supreme Court decision on Gay Marriage. In my opinion, Gay Marriage is not the true agenda item. The true desire is power and the ability to justify suppression of churches, Constitutionalists, Fox News, Drudge Report, you name it. From the FCC takeover of the Internet to SCOTUS ruling on Gay Marriage, the target is middle-class America. The problem is that most of us are too stupid or lazy to take it personally.
The SCOTUS ruling on Gay Marriage, if it goes the way analysts think and Gay Marriage becomes a civil protected status like heterosexual marriage, could be as disastrous as the Dred-Scott Decision of 1856. The Dred-Scott Decision effectively legalized slavery across the Union and tossed Abolitionists out of the public square. Think on the irony of that a moment and apply to today. Christians get tossed out of the public square and Gay Marriage is legalized.
Now to the Math of Unexpected Consequences.
Barna reports that 70% of Americans have some kind of faith and go to church. In a nation of over 300 million people, let’s drop that down to 150 million. Glen Beck and others predict a 50% falling away in the face of potential persecution. Things like extorting “correct” behavior from churches by imprisoning pastors and church leaders, taking away tax status, prosecution for not utilizing Obamacare, etc. If 50% is a good quote, then Church membership drops to 75 million.
I am not Catholic but I love the term, “Church Militant”. The term, “Militant” indicates those in this life who struggle and fight against evil. Keep that in mind for the rest of this analysis.
Special Forces Acquaintances tell me that the critical numeric in an insurgency is one tenth of one percent. That is the percentage of a movement that is willing to go violent. Success could bring more recruits but that is the starting value. In general, one tenth of one percent is a small, insignificant number. You lock those loons up and let the lawyers duke it out.
The Unexpected Consequence of persecuting the Church in the United States, after the 50% fallout, is that one tenth of 75 million is 7.5 million. These would continue to support churches with tithes, petition for the release of the pastor from prison, write editorials, and post on Facebook, risking the accusations of being anti-whatever. Losing their jobs would push them over the edge to something more Militant.
One percent of 75 million is 750,000. These would actively step into underground roles, hacking the Feds, supporting pastors on the run, and providing sanctuary to the Church Militant. One tenth of one percent is 75,000. These would be the angry warriors of the Church Militant. Many with survival skills, many with operator class skills. They would go entirely asymmetric. In the struggle for the very hearts and minds of our children and our churches, these would take down our economy and our government.
How many praying, God fearing snipers would erase Congressmen, Senators, senior government officials and judges from existence without batting an eyelash? How many Media boneheads? Essentially, the Chief Executive would reside in a gilded cage, too fearful to step in public. Walmart and Kroger trucks would stop going to super markets in the inner city and the conflagration would make Ferguson and Baltimore look like gentle strolls in the park.
The mathematics of this unintended consequence is really bad because Nations protect the innocent, care for the poor, love the widow, and resists oppression because the Christian Church does those things. If a government moves against the Church, justifying with gay marriage or whatever, then the Church Militant rises to the occasion.
In the face of oppression and persecution, I suspect that the unique flavor of the North American Church Militant would bring asymmetric capabilities that straddle all the domains of war – especially the new domain: Cyber War. This struggle would target the Church as the insurgency and conflict would surge in velocity to the speed of light. It would continue decades, even if the government has to burn the thing to the ground to kill us all. Some days, I hate math. Especially when the result on the other side of the equal sign draws such a potentially horrific picture.
Peaceful Revival is the cure but the Government must return to the original pre-1947 definition of the 1st Amendment in which the Church was protected from the Government. Not driven from the public square. Yep, that was another boneheaded decision from SCOTUS and now, here we are. It is irony that Dred-Scott in 1856 and the potential Gay Marriage ruling in 2015 could be known as the two SCOTUS decisions that led to Civil Wars and the greatest percentage loss of American lives than all other American conflicts combined.