Wickedly Accurate Presidential Predictor Says Trump Will Crush Biden–Here’s ‘Why’

Written by K. Walker on July 13, 2020

This is the same model that predicted that Trump would win in 2016, despite what polls said at the time.

Back in 2016, professor Helmut Norpoth, who teaches political science at Stony Brook University on Long Island, predicted that Donald Trump was going to win the Presidential election with an 87% certainty. At the time, the polls had put Hillary in the lead.

The New York Times had famously declared that Bill’s wife had an 85% chance of beating The Donald, but the Huffington Post went further pegging the number at a stunning 98%. 

They were both very, very wrong.

Professor Norpoth’s “model”–which doesn’t rely on polling–was correct. His model has been startlingly accurate and has correctly predicted the outcome of 5 of the last 6 presidential elections. The one that was missed was the Bush/Gore election in 2000 which was ultimately decided by the Supreme Court.

Professor Norpoth’s model is now predicting that President Trump has a 91% chance of reelection in November despite the polls showing him trailing Joe Biden.

Not only does the professor say that he has a huge chance for reelection, but that it will be a landslide win with Trump grabbing 362 electoral votes. Back when DJT trounced Hillary, he had secured 304 votes in the electoral college.

Professor Norpoth tells Fox Business’s Lou Dobbs that his model relies on what happens in the primaries, and Joe didn’t do so well in the primaries.

Watch Lou Dobbs discuss the anticipated “red wave” in the electoral college:

The Media(D) is excitedly chattering about a “blue wave.”

We’ve heard that before.

Pollsters, pundits, and prognosticators said that we would have Madame President in 2016.

We were told that Jon Ossoff (remember him?) was the “referendum” on Trump…but he lost, and the hopes and dreams of leftists–along with so much Hollywood cash–went down the drain.

The leftists in the Media(D) are consistently wrong.

As the Democrats push further left and the cities burn with activists taking over and the police handicapped by their own local governments, we just might see the “Silent Majority” come out and vote. In droves.

If they do, that will be a spectacular Red Wave.


ClashDaily's Associate Editor since August 2016. Self-described political junkie, anti-Third Wave Feminist, and a nightmare to the 'intersectional' crowd. Mrs. Walker has taken a stand against 'white privilege' education in public schools. She's also an amateur Playwright, former Drama teacher, and staunch defender of the Oxford comma. Follow her humble musings on Twitter: @TheMrsKnowItAll and on Gettr @KarenWalker