What The Polls And Media Are Missing

Written by Bill Thomas on August 5, 2020

Primary elections were held across the country earlier this week. The stage is being set for what promises to be a blockbuster election season. A lot of questions are on the table as the American people decide what kind of country we will be.

The big question, of course, is whether Joe Biden can emerge from his basement to defeat President Trump. The mainstream media, the communications arm of the Democrat party, sees this as a foregone conclusion. Of course he will.

After that question is the hope from the Democrats and the media that the Senate will go to the Democrats. They assert that, while this might be tough, it is doable and even likely.

It is an assumed outcome that the Democrats, led by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA), will retain the House. 

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With all of this grim news, is there any hope for the GOP and President Trump? I’m convinced the answer is a resounding “YES!” The media and Democrats, because they tend to ignore people they think are inferior to them, are overlooking some critical data points. What are they missing? Let’s take a look.

Pennsylvania is going to go red. In 2016, Trump shocked the political world by capturing the Keystone state, the first Republican to do so since 1992. While most of the polls put Pennsylvania in the Biden column, they’re getting it wrong. Pennsylvania voter registration data shows that Republicans are gaining voters at five times the rate of Democrats. Biden’s anti-fracking position will not resonate with the hard-working folks of Pennsylvania. Rep. Conor Lamb (D-PA) is engaged in a tough race against Afghanistan veteran Sean Parnell. The pressure on the Lamb campaign is so great that a spokesman for Lamb (his own brother) tweeted about Parnell, “Burn in hell and die.” Where does that rage come from? Fear of losing. The Democrats, unnoticed by the elites, are losing touch with the regular people of the Keystone state. Here’s an early pick…Pennsylvania’s going to go red.

Trump will gain with minority voters. The Latino vote is projected to be one of the most powerful demographics this November. Joe Biden and the Democrats may not be the beneficiary of that. Trump is outperforming where he was four years ago among Hispanic voters, a key part in the upcoming election because of its largely young population, and as the largest non-white ethnic group eligible to vote this year. Trump is also gaining strength in the black community. According to CNN, Trump is doing four points better with black voters against Biden than he did against Clinton.

It is candidates like Michigan’s Senate candidate John James that will help bring out black voters for the GOP. James served eight years in the U.S. Army. He flew Apache attack helicopters in Iraq during multiple tours, and eventually left the service, earned two Masters degrees, and took over his family’s business in Detroit. His great-great-grandfather was a slave. James powerfully summarizes his story. “This is the only country where you can go from slave to senator in four generations and poverty to prosperity in one.” That kind of story will play well among minority voters. It will propel James into the U.S. Senate and will garner support for Trump and the rest of the GOP.

States Trump took in 2016 will stay in the fold. Trump took Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, Iowa, and Wisconsin in 2016. He ran the table with what were called “swing states.” I don’t see how he doesn’t get them all again. Florida, despite what the polls (which are likely suppression polls) say now, is likely to stay red. It has been wrongly battered by the left for how it has handled COVID-19, so how can it do anything but support Trump and the GOP.

These swing states are filled with regular people who are tired of the pandemic political hype. They are tired of the political (fascist) views of BLM. They want to see their kids go to school. They want to go to work. They recognize the virus is real but are tired of being used as tools in the Democrats’ scheme to get the president. The “Silent Majority” is prepping to be heard.

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball, while a bit cloudy in 2016, declares Florida, Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin as the key swing states for 2020. Trump likely needs to capture three of them, supposing he carries the GOP strongholds, to earn another four years. I personally see a strong case for Trump taking at least four (Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin) with a chance to get both New Hampshire and Minnesota.

The media and the Democrats are salivating at the chance to send Trump packing. They’ve hated him and his supporters since 2015. They can hardly hide their glee over what they think may happen. Solomon wrote in Proverbs 16:18, “Pride goes before a fall.” Let the left and the Democrats ignore and ridicule the regular folks. Come November 3rd, we have a chance to let them know what kind of country we want and will support.

Bill Thomas
Bill Thomas lives in Washington, Missouri and is a professor at St. Louis Christian College. He's also on staff at First Christian Church in Washington, Missouri. He's authored two novellas, From the Ashes and The Sixty-First Minute published by White Feather Press of MI and three Bible studies, Surrounded by Grace, The Critical Questions and More and The Road to Victory published by CSS Publishing of OH.