Home Stretch For COVID? Here Are 2 Reasons For Optimism

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The better we get at managing the serious risks associated with Coronavirus, the sooner we can return to life more or less as we knew it.

There are two pieces to that puzzle — treatment and prevention.

COVID TREATMENT

On the treatment side, we need look no further than President Trump’s rapid recovery to realize how far we’ve come in attacking this virus. Besides some of the obvious high-end treatments that have been made available, there are plenty of studies and reports — including the video from certain Senate Hearings — pointing to the relative apparent success of certain cost-effective and generic treatments.

But there’s reason to be optimistic on the prevention side, as well.

COVID PREVENTION

Prevention has two aspects to it. At the individual level, you moderate different risk factors, decreasing the likelihood that they will either (a) contract the illness, or (b) pass it along to others.

This is where things hand-washing, masks, PPE, and social distancing comes in. The biggest step forward in this side of things is acquired immunity.

To the extent that the vaccine makes a person genuinely immune to the virus, it makes that person impervious to the disease. If they’re not genuinely infected, the chance that they will carry around enough of a lethal dose of virus particles that it becomes a transmission threat drops enormously.

The vaccine is only one route to acquired immunity. The other kind is cooked up by our own immune system after successfully fighting off an illness.

These factors together could be setting us up to be out of the woods, so to speak, by July.

In a video for MedPage Today, Dr Monica Gandhi, of the University of California San Francisco, said the nation will only be able to curb virus spread between vaccination coverage and natural immunity.

…’If we said 30 percent have had natural infection in this country – and it’s probably more – we’d have to get 40 percent more with our vaccines,’ Gandhi said.

‘And yes we’re gonna keep having natural infection, but we’d rather get there by vaccines because we have them, it’s safer, you don’t want people to get sick.

‘Let’s get vaccines into people’s arms and get to 70 [percent] as fast as possible. So do I think we can get to 70 [percent] by July? I do.’ — DailyMail

Good news, there’s some light at the end of the tunnel.

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