Middle East: What Recent Upheavals In Syria Will Mean For Us

Curiously, the Joe Biden presidency has been book-ended by the Fall of Afghanistan in the early part of his term, and the fall of Syria at the end of his term. The unanswered question is … what next?

It’s no secret that Syrian leader Bashar al-Assad has been a scourge on his own people. A quick web search suggests half-a-million casualties in their civil war since 2011, with 40% of that number representing civilian deaths.

Rebel groups in Syria, including one led by a Jihadist, have led a successful overthrow of Assad’s regime.

Assad has fled the country. Early reports that his flight had crashed in hostile territory have conflicted with Russian media reports that he and his family have fled to Russia for sanctuary. At the time of writing, Russia has yet to confirm those claims

Joe Biden and Donald Trump have very different official statements on the fall of the Assad Regime in Syria.

Biden is taking credit for the fall of the Syrian dictator, and thinks his ouster is a ‘fundamental act of justice.’

Biden credited action by the U.S. and its allies for weakening Syria’s backers — Russia, Iran and Hezbollah. He said “for the first time” that they could no longer defend Assad’s grip on power.

“Our approach has shifted the balance of power in the Middle East,” Biden said, after a meeting with his national security team. — AP

Even now Joe is looking at the role America will play there going forward. He considers this a ‘historic opportunity for people’ of Syria, but acknowledges there is a risk of the rebel groups creating an even worse situation. As JD Vance points out, one of these groups taking power is a literal offshoot of ISIS. It’s nice that the leaders have been giving assurances and pleasant platitudes, but time will tell how they act once someone is installed as leader.

The public is celebrating the fall of a tyrant. No surprise there.

But those of us who remember the ‘nation-building’ exercise in Iran and Afghanistan know how these things can go sideways in a hurry.  They cheered the fall of Saddam, too. Before Iraqi cities were reduced to rubble.

You’ll also notice, for example, that Hillary no longer seems quick to take credit for killing Gadaffi and plunging Libya into the status of a failed state rife with war, crime, and terrorism…  a problem which persists some 14 years after the fact.

Is the ouster of Assad good news? It’s hard to say who the good guys and bad guys are in this situation… if, in fact, there are any.

Trump offered an unequivocal position before the fall of Assad was announced, one that doesn’t have the ‘nation-building’ flavor of Joe Biden’s statement.

After the fall, he said this on TruthSocial:

While CIA spooks might be all-in for regime change and nation-building, Trump is not looking for what the framers might have called military ‘adventurism’.

He want peace and stability where entire generations of nation’s young men are not being thrown needlessly into a meat grinder.

With a little more than 40 days left before Trump is sworn in, there’s still time for Joe Biden and his people to make catastrophically stupid mistakes. Worse still, they could be calculated to box Trump into options their agenda would prefer.

Inauguration day can’t get here soon enough.

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