Those early signs of a Republican electoral surge continue to build…
Under ‘normal’ circumstances, it’s almost a given that the party that does not hold the presidency gains strength in the Midterm elections. Only on a very few occasions has this trend broken the other way.
And those occasions were driven by exceptional circumstances.
This year’s Mid-Terms seem to be bucking that trend.
And we’ve got data — not polls — to drive that interpretation of the current trend.
If you want to follow the logic of how they track these numbers by voting, we covered it in a recent story: A RED WAVE Is Mounting – Record Republican Early Voting Going Down Right NOW
Since this Midterm election will mostly be depending on voter turnout, the early voting trends are looking good for the Republican chances.
10/23/2016 combined early and absentee votes:
Rs lead 6,975
R lead 53,745
Rs outperforming 2016 by 47k . . . and red Panhandle voting down 2/3 from 2016 so far. It WILL come in, or most of it, on election day.
— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) October 23, 2018
Except for Nevada, Red turnout is leading in every state.
And that is despite the fact that the very-red Florida Panhandle that Hurricane Michael tore up hasn’t been able to take part in early voting.
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