Why Trump’s Winning

Written by Bill Thomas on June 24, 2020

The latest polls show Joe Biden leading President Trump by at least nine points. The Hill trumpeted “Biden doubles lead over Trump to 12 points in national poll.” The media’s gleefully announcing that Trump is on ropes and destined to go down to defeat.

So, all is lost, and Trump is done, right?  Well, no.  It isn’t and he isn’t. I’m going to posit just the opposite in this column. I believe not only is Trump winning now but will win in a big way in November.  How?  Let’s take a look.

The outrage mob that is attacking the foundation of America is creating a silent majority of people who believe that law and common-sense matter. While most people do not support the Confederacy, the movement to destroy American monuments has gone far beyond the CSA.

The George Washington statue near the entrance of Druid Hill Park in Baltimore was defaced with red paint, Black Lives Matter markings, and anti-police statements.

A monument recognizing the 54thMassachusetts Regiment, the first all-volunteer black regiment of the Union Army during the Civil War, and their leader Col. Robert Gould Shaw was defaced during recent protests. 

A statue of Ulysses S. Grant, the former president who opposed the KKK and the leading general of the Union forces, was torn down in San Francisco.

A sea of regular people who know right from wrong, don’t support slavery or racism, but who are committed to the principles of right and wrong, decency and truth and honesty and integrity, is growing. It will generate a red wave that will sweep the president who stands for these values back into office.

Why aren’t these people showing up in the polls?  Two reasons. First, those who create the polls don’t poll equal numbers of Republicans and Democrats. Nate Silver noted in 2014 that “Registered Voter Polls Will (Usually) Overrate Democrats.”

Aren’t there more Democrats than Republicans? Yes, but the enthusiasm gap this year, seems to me, to be huge and in favor of the president. I believe more Republicans are passionate about getting out to vote for Trump than the Democrats are eager to get out and vote for Biden.

Second, the Trump voter doesn’t report his/her opinion because of the vicious and unfair harassment of the left. Again, there is a shy, quiet, but very real force of Trump voters that, behind the curtain, will pull the lever to bring order and direction to our country.

The economy is on course to boom again. The May 2020 jobs report was a surprise and a blast across the bow of the doomsayers and Trump haters.

Economists expected the unemployment rate to rise from a post-World War II record of 14.7 percent in April to Great Depression-era levels of 20 percent or higher. Instead, the economy added 2.5 million jobs and the unemployment rate dropped to 13.3 percent. 

Sure, there are still tough times, but the question will come down to whom do you trust to reignite the economy?  Trump did it before with record low unemployment numbers for African Americans, Hispanics, and women.  Biden promises nothing but a return to the low-energy, slow-producing Obama economy. I’m confident that the American people will vote for jobs.

Biden is self-destructing and will continue to do so while Trump dominates and excites the crowds. Though the Left has done all they can to lie and spin it away, I believe Biden sexually assaulted Tara Reade and people know it. Biden spoke at ex-KKK member Sen. Robert Byrd’s funeral and insinuated that if Africans Americans didn’t vote for him, they were not black. 

Biden’s weakness is visible, even to those ostensibly on his side. On June 23rd,  New York Times reporter Maggie Haberman declared Joe Biden a “very flawed candidate” who’s “running a flawed campaign.”

As Biden leaves his basement, people will recognize that he’s not the one to lead the nation in these difficult and troubled times. Biden is a big step backward from the progress we’ve seen since 2016.

I’m not the only one seeing a big Trump victory. Stony Brook University’s Helmut Norpoth, who predicted Trump would win in 2016, says another Trump victory is in the offing.

On the “Ingraham Angle” on Laura Ingraham’s show, Norpoth noted that his model shows Trump has a 91% chance of being re-elected. Granted, that model did not take into account the pandemic or the unrest in our culture. However, for reasons stated above, I believe those may end up helping rather than hurting the president’s chances.

Will Trump win in November?  No one knows for sure. However, it isn’t as gloomy as the media wants you to believe it is. We have to keep the faith. Encourage the faithful. Register people and get out the vote.




Bill Thomas
Bill Thomas lives in Washington, Missouri and is a professor at St. Louis Christian College. He's also on staff at First Christian Church in Washington, Missouri. He's authored two novellas, From the Ashes and The Sixty-First Minute published by White Feather Press of MI and three Bible studies, Surrounded by Grace, The Critical Questions and More and The Road to Victory published by CSS Publishing of OH.